Online data processing: comparison of Bayesian regularized particle filters

نویسندگان

  • Roberto Casarin
  • Jean-Michel Marin
چکیده

The aim of this paper is to compare three regularized particle filters in an online data processing context. We carry out the comparison in terms of hidden states filtering and parameters estimation, considering a Bayesian paradigm and a univariate stochastic volatility model. We discuss the use of an improper prior distribution in the initialization of the filtering procedure and show that the Regularized Auxiliary Particle Filter (R-APF) outperforms the Regularized Sequential Importance Sampling (R-SIS) and the Regularized Sampling Importance Resampling (R-SIR). Key-words: Online data processing, Bayesian estimation, regularized particle filters, stochastic volatility model ∗ Department of Economics, University of Brescia † INRIA Futurs, Projet select, Université Paris-Sud in ria -0 01 38 00 7, v er si on 3 4 M ar 2 00 8 Traitement de données en temps réel : comparaison de filtres particulaires bayésiens régularisés Résumé : L’objectif de ce travail est de comparer trois filtres particulaires régularisés pour le traitement de données en temps réel. Les trois filtres sont évalués pour leurs capacités à reconstituer les états latents du système et à estimer les paramètres du modèle. Nous considérons le paradigme bayésien et le modèle à volatilité stochastique. Nous montrons que les performances du filtre particulaire auxiliaire sont meilleures que celles des filtres particulaires classiques d’échantillonnage préférentiel séquentiel. Mots-clés : Traitement de données en temps réel, estimation bayésienne, filtres particulaires régularisés, modèle à volatilité stochastique in ria -0 01 38 00 7, v er si on 3 4 M ar 2 00 8 Comparison of Bayesian regularized particle filters 3

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تاریخ انتشار 2008